← NorCal Regional Santa Clara Hosted By Final Cut TCG Sponsored By TM32!
Wind AlliesTier 2
at NorCal Regional Santa Clara Hosted By Final Cut TCG Sponsored By TM32!
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 52.5% | 19 | 6-13-0 | 31.6% | 34.8% | 40.5% | -3.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +0.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.6% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 50.6% | +0.3 |
| Fire Exia | 5.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Fire Suited | 5.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.9% | +1.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.9% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.9% | -4.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.8% | +20.4 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.1% | -3.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Water Fractal | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.0% | +14.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.4 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.3% | -21.8 |
| Water Allies | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Diana | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 53 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 53 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Legion's Wingspan | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flash Grenade | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ranger Boots | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Perse, Relentless Raptor | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Expose Darkness | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Concealed Marksman | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Diana, Aether Dilettante | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Evasive Maneuvers | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Squallbind Pounce | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Draught of Stamina | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aether's Embrace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ranger Strides | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Charge the Soul | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Coronation Ceremony | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Paired Minds, Kindred Souls | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inert Sword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Horse Archer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridescent Aetherstreak | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Teasing Aerocharge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Galewind Scout | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiled Dash | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backstep | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Emerald Pistol | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veteran Aerotheurge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reposition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mad Hatter, Morose Heritor | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unyielding Wraithguard | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windpiercer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Skirting Step | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |